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“There is no good understanding for why CMD-3 is so different,” El-Khadra says.

In February another curveball hit the community, this time from the data-driven side: A new analysis of data from an experiment called CMD-3 that is based in Novosibirsk, Russia, agreed with the BMW result and the experimental value.

If CMD-3 were found to be correct, there would be no discrepancy in theory—or between theory and experiment.

And with the BMW and CMD-3 results, there is further conflict within each method.

But CMD-3 doesn’t agree with any of the previous results, including those of its predecessor, CMD-2.