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"The implications one could draw from such data would have wide confidence limits since there are so many other variables to consider," Sommer explained, since there are variables like degree of vaccination and degree of exposure.

Since the young were measured at irregular intervals, statistical procedures for calculating confidence limits of the curves were not applicable.

It should be noted that because the RMS error for SSM/I data is similar to that of the altimeter data, the 95% confidence limits on SSM/I estimates will be comparable in magnitude.

Figure 1 shows that the data scatter is consistent with the confidence limits, and the data scatters about the 1:1 line with 9 of 12 points within the 95% confidence limits.

The actual market return over the next year fell between their 80 percent confidence limits only a third of the time, so these executives weren’t particularly good at forecasting the stock market.