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“The thing that’s perhaps the most determinative when you come up to the parole board process is what kind of prisoner have you been?”

“If we have a very tight election in a determinative state, like in 2000, then all bets are off and there will be litigation all over the place,” Smith said.

Even more determinative, from a pure numbers perspective, was the North Carolina primary this month.

Historically, the Iowa caucuses have been interesting, if not determinative, kickoffs for nominating contests, cutting down front-runners and elevating little-known contenders.

According to Ms Bellows, a Supreme Court decision in the Colorado case could also be "determinative" in Maine.