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An early opinion poll appears to show the French public taking a calm line, bursting – or at least deflating – the RN's bubble of outrage.

Reform UK will launch its local election bid later with a major rally in Birmingham as the party looks to turn momentum in the opinion polls into council seats.

National opinion polls have seen a stunning reversal in recent weeks, with the Conservatives losing the 20-point lead they had over the Liberals for the better part of a year.

Reform UK has expanded rapidly, now boasting more than 200,000 members and regularly topping or coming second in national opinion polls.

The Conservatives are defending the majority of seats and may find it hard to replicate that result, given the party's current opinion poll ratings.