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California’s out-migration has come to resemble the pattern long associated with Rust Belt states.

In Scranton on Wednesday…. a 45-year-old former construction worker, looked around at poverty in the Rust Belt city and thought the nation needed a change in leadership.

“We cannot be a party that can only win in parts of the country. And frankly, our party has to be able to win the Rust Belt.”

If just over 115,000 voters in that group had instead picked Harris, she would have won those Rust Belt swing states, giving her enough votes in the electoral college to win the presidency.

The motivation for such consistency, however, was in large part political: It was an open secret in Washington that Biden’s advisors, needing “Rust Belt” votes to win reelection and facing a vocally protectionist opponent in Trump, viewed economic nationalism as the only viable approach.